The difference between assertion and evidence! (Danny Dorling versus CoSERG)


The HOUSE OF LORDS Select Committee on Economic Affairs,Report Building more homes makes interesting reading. One comment which caught our eye is the paragraph below –

27. Professor Danny Dorling from the University of Oxford argued the fact people were living longer was having the biggest effect on housing demand.27 Professor Robert Rowthorn from the University of Cambridge said longevity may affect demand for housing more than immigration: “longevity may mean more people living on their own, for example, and more single-person households. Immigration might not mean that in the same way.”

HOUSE OF LORDS Select Committee on Economic Affairs, 1st Report of Session 2016–17, HL Paper 20, Building more homes

Now in the world of fake news and alternative evidence we might and ought to expect that academics make a more robust case when presenting a case. Yet there is no evidence to back up the assertion made above.

We looked at household type by category for Cornwall for 2001 and 2011. Over the whole period the number of households increased by 15,574. And what was the cause of this?

Well one person pensioner household numbers actually fell from 35,223 to 34,137!

Other one person households rose from 29,307 to 35,132.

Bearing in mind that Cornwall’s population would fall without in-migration, we can attribute all of the increase in households to in-migration. More pensioners living alone has not impacted on housing at all.

Now that’s evidence!

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s