Population change in Cornwall

See the Our Cornwall website for some information about population change in Cornwall.

Cornwall Council’s planning officers are making a final effort to push the Local Plan’s (minimum) housing target of 42,500 back up to 48,000. Spurning the opportunity to build on the slight reduction in the unsustainable growth experienced in Cornwall in the 1970s and 1980s, the planners are keen to tweak it upwards again.

In the April 2013 Housing Land Availability Statement they say “the latest estimate based on the 2011 Census appears to indicate a provision of about 48,000 [houses]”.

In fact, it does nothing of the sort.

They went on: “The most up to date population and household projections appear to indicate a provision of about 48,000”. Up to date they may be. But these Office for National Statistics (ONS) projections have also in the recent past been incredibly inaccurate.

Our Cornwall has examined the record of ONS projections, looking in detail at eight household and population projections produced between 2003 and 2010. We found that all eight turned out to be wrong, inflating the forecast growth well above reality. And not just by a bit. In the early 2000s the forecasts for population growth in that decade were between 48% and 64% too high.

For the details read our Population change in Cornwall

For more: http://ourcornwall.org/?p=695


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